Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 296.943328 337.164409 382.324172 437.074411 502.040534 577.143835 671.227794
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 231.271369 281.461070 343.053847 425.283427 533.852383 674.707170 875.356667
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 204.016007 260.226346 333.559556 438.412579 588.189489 800.474341 1135.755781
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 181.687181 240.149136 320.088862 440.726806 624.377659 904.600183 1388.586780
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 161.699149 219.805099 302.280293 432.308170 640.969086 979.952399 1613.273670
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 148.288665 206.725456 292.528622 433.373674 670.884824 1080.743721 1908.575546
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 134.708267 191.682865 277.691678 423.686536 680.417701 1147.131371 2157.376463
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 124.870815 181.153420 268.384106 421.303012 701.442906 1237.823156 2484.089238
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 112.825378 166.021683 250.089184 401.056095 686.327721 1254.807372 2651.637252
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 109.461937 164.267305 253.252139 418.553063 745.023074 1434.466954 3275.849610
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 107.440477 164.423311 259.490507 442.280847 820.181620 1668.757896 4151.596704
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 101.782642 158.000300 253.673227 442.380688 846.150466 1796.501914 4785.135114
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 94.417604 148.270689 241.414926 429.026965 842.086341 1853.743088 5240.502307
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 88.008717 139.746475 230.637621 417.475149 840.519776 1918.468190 5764.770980
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 85.489707 137.816988 231.731052 430.302068 897.938446 2158.791250 7100.155957
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 81.844869 133.578182 228.066275 432.562602 930.280167 2338.625181 8334.858071
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 77.284999 127.346826 220.035882 424.338855 934.740536 2436.260517 9283.755763
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 74.162391 123.535978 216.382687 425.379745 963.592155 2621.307848 10838.812612
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 70.166556 117.832209 208.517836 415.915819 962.511902 2706.957589 11948.309532
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 67.216059 113.915240 203.941487 413.587020 980.998664 2868.487138 13696.006895
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 62.762031 106.874566 192.501443 393.801790 946.339227 2825.527415 14085.306589
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 62.129760 107.154203 196.179729 410.900113 1023.308906 3237.945380 18266.478524
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 62.006358 108.407786 201.994358 434.080565 1124.582788 3800.717617 24852.856092